Just in case you might have missed it, something extraordinary has taken place in Las Vegas. I’m shocked and dismayed that this epic event was not covered more in depth by the national networks. They instead chose to focus on a blizzard that made life difficult for millions of people. But the really important stuff always gets covered here, so I’ll fill in those of you somehow unaware of what just happened here in Las Vegas.
We finally got a White Castle on the Las Vegas Strip.
I’ll be honest. I had no idea how huge this was. Two hour lines, and so much volume the restaurant actually had to close because they ran out of product.
Okay, enough of the sarcasm. I have another question that needs some responses. Follow me on Twitter (@davecokin) and fill in the mental chasm I have right now on this topic.
I have enjoyed White Castle burgers in the past. I like burgers, and if my recollection is correct, they serve up a pretty good burger. But waiting in line for two plus hours? It’s a bleeping hamburger, for cryin’ out loud.
I’ll admit I’m not the most patient person on the planet. If I stroll into the Dunkin’ Donuts that’s close to me, and judge I’m going to have to wait more than a few minutes, I’m gone. I really like Dunkin’ Donuts coffee. But it’s still coffee.
So again, someone will have to fill me in here. I get that it’s a brand new thing for Las Vegas and if one grew up feasting on White Castles, it’s probably pretty cool to have one in town. But it’s not like you get some kind of an award for standing in a line that goes on forever.
You don’t get to meet the owner of the company (or the franchise, as the case might be). You don’t get any celebrity autographs, as not even those Eat More Chikin cows from the Chick-fil-a commercials are on hand to protest. You get a damn hamburger, which you then have to pay for. That’s worth a two-hour wait? Please explain.
2-2 on Wednesday, and on the wrong side of yet another late collapse. Props to Notre Dame for a terrific rally, but Duke getting outscored 22-8 at the finish was pretty stunning, at least to me.
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Free plays are in a funk right now. It’ll turn, as it always does, but between a few rough beats and some simply wrong decisions, these have not done well at all lately. I’ll go the ugly dog route tonight.
(527) ILLINOIS-CHICAGO at (528) WISCONSIN MILWAUKEE
Take: (527) ILLINOIS-CHICAGO +8
The later the season gets, the more reliable are the power ratings for each college basketball team. Obviously there will be some exceptions. But by and large, if you’re operating with a good set of rankings, your number and the actual betting line are going to mostly very similar.
But that doesn’t mean these numbers are of no use. I’ll share a theory I’ve used to churn out more winners than losers over the past several seasons. It’s really pretty simple. Find a team that’s outside the top 200 and is laying a bunch of points and you’ll do pretty well grabbing those points with what will be an even uglier dog.
The rationale here is pretty logical. While it might not be easy to plunk down a wager on a terrible team, it’s really not that tough to take big points against another stiff. Teams outside the top 200 are not good. The idea that they not only have to win, but also have to do so by a substantial margin is tough to swallow. I’d rather take my chances getting a batch of points with the weak dog. Also note that these are going to be the games where that ugly dog will probably feel like they have an actual chance to win, which makes the proposition even more attractive.
Case in point tonight, UIC at Milwaukee. The visiting Flames are downright terrible. Aside from being adept at knocking down free throws, there’s not much they do well. But Milwaukee is no bargain, either. The Panthers are 7-14, with a 2-5 league slate and there’s a bit of a potential bonus here as well.
Milwaukee has nothing to play for. They’re not eligible for any post-season action this season. They’ve occasionally come out focused, but there have also been several games where one can just tell the intensity isn’t there. I think this game could well fall into that latter category.
UIC is generally going to have little chance of winning in a pretty good Horizon league. They just don’t have the talent on hand to win many games. But this is a gam where they’re not physically overwhelmed and I would certainly expect the Flames to arrive here feeling they have a legit opportunity for a win. With heavily favored UIC a team that is clearly outside that top 200, I like the idea of grabbing a big number this time. I’ll side with Illinois-Chicago plus the points.
UPDATE: I will personally be playing this for one unit total, split between the first half and full game. +4/+8