Here’s this week’s Wise Guy Wednesday Report. The usual note that the info is gathered from contacts I’ve got in Nevada as well as via underground books in major cities, plus offshore sources. These aren’t to be confused with my plays, and the commentary is from the contacts. Enjoy!
There’s some wise guy action on 113 North Carolina, but this is not the usual flood of cash that’s consistently shown against Duke.
117 UTEP is getting plays from the sharps as they head to Rice for a Friday night battle with the Owls.
One of the first games hit by the wise guys this week was 126 Virginia in the home dog role against Miami.
Plenty on the line for Missouri this week, but the smart money has been showing on 128 Tennessee.
Some wise guy action on 137 Vanderbilt, but it’s not heavy. One of my guys said that “it’s like they know they’re supposed to take the dog here, but they’re having trouble actually doing it.”
142 Michigan has gotten some pro dough, although it’s not a landslide was the Wolverines host Maryland.
Pretty heavy sharp cash showing on 148 Purdue, and the consensus is that number could continue to drop.
Early dollars from some sharps on 150 Central Michigan, but one of my sources thinks the visitors from Western Michigan might get some buy back as the game approaches.
Sharp/square duel appears to be unfolding as 160 UAB entertains unbeaten Marshall, and the wise guys are playing the home dog Blazers.
The pros and the joes are also split on a Mountain West matchup, with the sharps on 168 Wyoming in the home dog role against Boise State.
Steady smart money on 179 Louisville, with more than one of my contacts saying they’re also getting public dollars on the Cardinals.
193 Washington State has already gotten some pro money and more is expected on the Cougars as large dogs against Arizona State.
The sharps have done well when they take 200 Connecticut and they’re lining up on the Huskies once again this week.
Finally, some but not major sharp action on 210 Hawaii as they play host to UNLV on Saturday evening.
A big 6-1 on Tuesday night, with a pair of winners on the ice, and 4-1 in the college hoops. That was a welcome result here as the weekend was ugly, and a big night was needed to right the ship. I’m already on a couple of college hoop games for this evening.
I’m not a huge fan of Game of the Whatevers, but when one is in the business of selling selections, a Game of the Year is basically a must if the intention is to turn a profit. Fortunately, I’ve done quite well with my annual College Football Game of the Year, and it will take place this Saturday. I’ve already sent it out to my subscribers, as they get it first.
That game is included with the current special, which is two months for the price of one. The package includes all my plays in all sports and can be purchased using the “buy now” feature on this page.
For those interested in just getting the one game, I’ll probably make it available here on Thursday and it will definitely be up by the weekend on the sites that market my games.
Just one cautionary note. I’m playing two units on this game, so I obviously like it quite a bit. But please don’t go insane on this game if you get it. There’s no such thing as a sure thing in betting and trying to get rich on one game is not a good idea.
Nice job by DePaul as the Blue Demons had an easy time of it against a Drake team that isn’t good at all right now. Here’s a look at one of Saturday college games that made the Wednesday Wise Guy Report and I like it as well.
11/22 12:30 PM CF (179) LOUISVILLE at (180) NOTRE DAME
Take: (179) LOUISVILLE +4
The best time I ever had at a college football game was on my one and only visit to South Bend, Indiana. This was back in the 1970’s, and a good friend of mine back in Rhode Island was a graduate of the school. He took annual pilgrimages back to Notre Dame for a football game, and he decided to invite me this one year.
Understand that weekends were crazy for me as I was running a good sized shop back in those days and my initial response was thanks, but no thanks. But my friend was pretty insistent, and almost demanded that I accompany him to South Bend as it would be a phenomenal experience.
I finally gave in, assigned the duties of running the book to one of my more trusted associates, and off we went to Notre Dame. One of the better decisions I’ve ever made, actually. I had no allegiance to the school, and in fact on most football weekends I was sure to be rooting against the Irish for financial reasons. But this was an awesome time. The pep rally was incredible and the atmosphere leading up to and including game day was sensational. It’s still one of the best times I’ve ever had. And as it turned out, my players ended up getting mostly hammered that weekend, which was icing on the cake.
Anyway, that story has absolutely nothing to do with this football game, just thought I’d throw it in. As for Saturday’s game between Louisville and Notre Dame, I’m looking at the underdog.
Louisville showed me something in its win at Boston College. The Cardinals were in a really bad scheduling spot, coming off the gut wrenching loss to Florida State. I was surprised at how they went into Chestnut Hill and blew up the Eagles. BC stayed in the game thanks to some staunch red zone defense in the first quarter, but this was basically a blowout, and that told me quite a bit about the character of this Louisville squad.
Notre Dame might not have that same internal engine. The Irish got kayoed at Arizona State, ending whatever playoff hopes they might have been entertaining. They then proceeded to mail it in last week against a Northwestern entry they should have handled without much difficulty. The fact it was a close game that the Wildcats won in overtime means little to me. I thought Notre Dame was dead in the water and showed no real fire.
Perhaps the Irish get back on track as they return home for this game, but I’m not counting on it. And in fact, I think Louisville is the better team regardless. I’m a big fan of backing underdogs that hold their opponents to less than 100 yards per game on the ground, and the ‘Ville qualifies on that count. I also believe the Cardinals will be able to crank up a pretty decent running game of their own here as that Notre Dame defensive front can be exploited.
But the big deal here is that Notre Dame is going to have to prove to me they’re not a broken team right now. That includes the coach, who made one of the silliest decisions I’ve ever seen last week from a math standpoint and cost his team the game in the process. In case you missed it, Brian Kelly went for two following a TD that had put Notre Dame up by 11. Huh?
I’d much rather have the team that proved its mettle off a tough loss, and the Cardinals are also well rested to boot. This line has been dropping, but getting more than a field goal still tells me that Louisville plus the points is the way to play.