30 Results for month: 11/2014

Dave’s Free Play, Tuesday 11/18/14

I'm writing this in advance of the release of this week's official college football playoff rankings. I normally don't pay much attention to polls, unless it's to try and gauge what I feel is public misperception that might get me some value on a bet. But it's a whole different ballgame this time around, because we're no longer looking at just a top two, ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Monday 11/17/14

It's easy to to make assessments based on small samples. It's also the ultimate fool's gold at times. All one needs to do is scan the weekly NFL QB ratings and you'll see what I mean. If you were to just go by what we saw yesterday, Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton would have zero detractors and they'd be making space for a plaque with his name and ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Sunday 11/16/14

Step aside, RGIII and make way for MGIII. If you watched Wisconsin dismantle Nebraska on a snowy Saturday in Madison, you saw history take place. Melvin Gordon had what I believe was the best performance I've ever seen by a running back. It wasn't just the fact that Gordon set an all-time one game rushing record in the rout. He was absolutely amazing, ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Saturday 11/15/14

Talk about upheaval. There are 351 D-1 college basketball teams. A whopping 47 of them have a new head coach this season. I'm not sure what the average annual turnover has been over the years, but 13% certainly seems pretty heavy. From my vantage point, the task is to weigh the impact of these coaching changes to whatever extent I'm able to. In some ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Friday 11/14/14

Some absolute insanity on the Thursday night gridiron. Here are my quick takes from that trio of games. Cincinnati ended up with a 54-46 win over East Carolina in an absolutely crazy football game. The Bearcats had gone up by 11 with less than five minutes to play, but the Pirates scored to cut the lead to five. ECU then failed on a two-point conversion ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Thursday 11/13/14

MACtion was in the college football spotlight the last couple of nights. Here's the quick take rundown of the four games that took place. Buffalo took out a whole bunch of frustration on Akron. The Zips actually got on the board immediately on a pick-six to start the game. But the hosts were in absolute command from that point on, and the game ended ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Wednesday 11/12/14

Sharp money has done pretty well for the season in college football, but that wasn't the case last weekend. Here's this week's Wise Guy Wednesday report. Note that the indicated sides are not necessarily my plays. In fact, I'm definitely opposite one of the moves on this list. Info and comments are gathered from a variety of books in Nevada, as well as ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Tuesday 11/11/14

If you happen to be driving around your town today and happen upon a particularly forlorn looking character, chances are he's a bookmaker. This was a great football weekend for the masses, not so great for the pros, and a nightmare for the books. Before anyone sheds a tear for those on the other side of the window, realize they've been having a very nice ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Monday 11/10/14

Some sales pitches work like a charm. Others just don't make the cut. I saw one terrific example each way this weekend. The sales pitch that worked was non-verbal but it paid off in a big way. The other featured several coaches from the same conference and I never for one second believed what they were trying to sell me. Salesman of the week award goes ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Sunday 11/9/14

Risk vs. reward. Mention that phrase to any top poker player and he or she will tell you that's what the game is all about. Knowing when to gamble can be the difference between walking away from the table and heading to the cashier's window or just getting in the car and driving home. It's much the same in the game of football. But it's downright ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Saturday 11/8/14

We're now into the homestretch as far as the college football regular season is concerned. This brings into play an aspect of analysis that's really only beneficial, at least potentially, at this time of the season. I'll be actively seeking out also-rans as possible plays in one specific scenario. I've found over all these years that even bad teams who ... More

Dave’s Free Play, Friday 11/7/14

Another day, another Jameis Winston issue. The latest problem is an allegation via a website I'm honestly not familiar with that ties the Florida State QB to supposed point shaving in the first half of last week's game against Louisville. I have no idea whether or not there's anything to this story. So this isn't about guilt or innocence and I'm not going ... More