Cokin’s Corner, Monday 6/27/17
The MLB trade deadline buyers and sellers list is starting to take shape. Surprise additions, at least based on projections prior to the season, would be the Tigers and Giants. My thoughts are the Cardinals should be on that list of sellers as well.
The surprise buyers list is more interesting. It was assumed the Royals run was over and they’d be peddling in late July. As of this minute, I think it’s entirely possible the KC brass might just slip into go for it mode. The Royals are only two games out of the wild card and 2.5 in back of the Twins, who recaptured the top spot in the AL Central with their road sweep of the Indians. Much will hinge on what takes place on the field over the next few weeks, but if this team stays hot I think they might just go all-in for one more post-season run.
Fact is, while the National League has little in the way of projected drama at this point in terms of who makes it to the post-season, the American League is a total crapshoot. The White Sox are saddled with the worst record in the league as of tonight, and even they are only seven games behind what would be the second wild card. Not that I think the Chisox are contenders, but that gives you an idea of how much fun this summer could be in the AL.
My Sunday was a horror show as I lost all three baseball plays. No beefs about the Padres, as a very nice profit was earned by fading the Tigers all week long. But the Red Sox loss was really disappointing and the one Total I played never really threatened.
Back to to winning track this evening, that’s the immediate goal. I want to make sure I end up in the profit column for the month, so this is a pivotal week for me. If you want to ride along with all my plays, plus the other exclusive information I supply each and every day, buy the Summer Special. Or you can email me at firstname.lastname@example.org for complete details.
All good things must come to an end. And so it went with the anti-Tigers train, as the Motowners rallied to finally win a game on Sunday. Here’s the free play for Monday. Please note that as of now this opinion only and not on my personal Monday ticket. But I’ll be sure to provide an update on that status during the morning on my Twitter timeline (@davecokin) as well as on this page.
REDS (Finnegan) at CARDINALS (Wacha)
Take: REDS +147
Brandon Finnegan returns from his rehab stint, and the Reds lefty appears to be completely healthy once again. Finnegan is hoping to gain more consistency with his control. When the southpaw isn’t beating himself wth free passes, he’s a pretty good pitcher.
Michael Wacha might well be pitching for his rotation spot here. Rough sledding for the Cardinals righty of late. Five of Wacha’s last six starts have been mostly mediocre. Wacha has gotten past six innings only once all season, which means an almost guaranteed multiple inning effort by the bullpen every time he pitches.
There’s not much to like with either of these teams. The surprising hot start for the Reds is now a memory and they haven’t been winning much lately. But neither have the Cardinals, and from this vantage point, the Redbirds are more reputation than reality these days. St. Louis is also a poor offensive team vs. lefties, particularly at home where the production has been just plain lousy.
I have to lean to the Reds at the price, and while the game is not currently on my Monday card, it’s getting strong consideration.
PLEASE NOTE I’VE ADDED THIS PLAY TO MY CARD.