Cokin’s Corner, Saturday 12/31/16

  • December 31, 2016

It’s the usual abbreviated Saturday blog. 131 basketball games, plus four bowls, plus 11 NHL matchups. When all is said and done, I’ll only be involved in a small percentage of the games, but the work still has to be done on all of them. No time for anything other than a quick recap and the daily free play.

Friday was okay. 3-0 in college basketball, 0-2 in the bowls. Stanford was a true horror show beat. The Cardinal lost their starting QB to an injury, but still looked to be in great shape up five and with a first and goal at the UNC 1. No dice. Settled for a field goal and the Heels went down the field, scored and missed the deuce, and the final landed on two. Push for some players perhaps, but the consensus was -2.5, so it’s officially a loss. 3-2 is cool, but 4-1 would have been far better. Good news is it happened on a winning day. The bad beats sting more when that’s not the case.

Here’s the free play for Saturday and I’ll make it on one of the two playoff games.


Take: OHIO STATE -2.5

I might have pulled the trigger a little early on this one as far as the line goes, as I wasn’t anticipating the public backing Clemson. But that’s been the story so far.

This is the toughest game on the Saturday college slate for me, to be honest. Clemson has a definite experience edge in terms of big games and Swinney is a very tough game coach. I actually think he’s right there with Meyer on that count, which means he’s an elite coach.

But I still power rated this game Buckeyes -5 and they do own the offensive and defensive rushing stats edges. Teams fitting those parameters are 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS in the bowls so far, so while it’s not crushing, it’s still winning, and I basically won’t go against those stats.

Gut feeling is this is a real seat squirmer, but between the stats and the power ratings I have Ohio State winning, so at this price the Buckeyes are the play.