Cokin’s Corner, Saturday 4/20/19

  • April 20, 2019

So much for the two top seeds in the NHL playoffs. Tampa Bay went down with a massive thud in a four-game sweep at the hands of Columbus. Now Calgary is gone courtesy of the Colorado Avalanche.

The Avalanche upset isn’t as big a shocker as many are making it out to be. It’s my feeling the Flames were built for the regular season. The Flames had a terrible time bathing up with Colorado’s size and that really became a factor in the series.

One other note. The Avalanche hit a terrible mid-season slump that was fueled by an extraordinary run of overtime failures. The Avs at one point lost 11 straight that went past regulation. All those lost pints made their getting to the playoffs a much more difficult task. But at one point early in the season, I had Colorado as my third-highest power rated team. I think what we’re seeing is a team now getting back to the level they were at early in the season, and that makes them a major threat to be playing deep into these Stanley Cup playoffs. If that gives you an idea of what I think about their chances against either Vegas or San Jose, you’re probably right.

I managed a profit last night thanks to backing Colorado at a very generous money line, while I split a pair on the diamond. I’ve got two games as of now in today’s baseball, and here’s one of them.

DODGERS (Ryu) at BREWERS (Anderson)

Take: DODGERS -125

This is probably going to turn into a bullpen game as Ryu and Anderson might each be on at least somewhat limited pitch counts. As far as that goes, I don’t think there’s much chance we see Jansen or Hader, so that will be a bit of a crap shoot. But I definitely give Ryu the edge on the starters and that Dodgers offense continues to do damage. I have had Milwaukee as an overrated team since before the season started, and I feel pretty good about that projection. Yelich has been flat out incredible but the rest of the offense sure hasn’t. Keeping it simple, we’ve got a team that is +39 on the net run differential between the two teams, with the better pitcher. Add in six straight wins for LA and three straight losses for Milwaukee and laying this price with the Dodgers is very reasonable.