Cokin’s Corner, Saturday 5-28-16

  • May 27, 2016

It’s Memorial Day weekend, which is annually when I put together my initial power ratings for the next college football season. Therefore the commentary here will be pretty light for the next few days. But there are no days off as far as the free plays are concerned, so those will continue, even if the soapbox is getting at least some partial time off.

Friday’s results were 1-1, but a tidy little profit thanks to the Cardinals paying off as a +150 underdog. Be sure to contact me for info on my available personal service packages, including guarantees as well as details on a profit sharing plan.

Saturday’s free play is on a small underdog from the American League side of the slate.

TIGERS (Boyd) at ATHLETICS (Hahn)

Take: TIGERS +115

Matt Boyd is back up from the minors with another opportunity to carve out a spot at the back end of the Detroit rotation. Boyd crapped out in his 2015 maiden voyage with the Blue Jays before getting dealt to Motown. I’m not sure how much upside there is with the lefty, as he doesn’t have powerhouse stuff and he’s probably going to be prone to the long ball with his fly ball tendencies. But is he good enough to chew up innings at the big league level while holding a #4-5 rotation spot? I think Boyd has a chance to succeed at that level.

Boyd has been throwing it well down on the farm, and with Mike Pelfrey and Anibal Sanchez each struggling mightily, this is a big opportunity for the southpaw. Boyd also draws a favorable assignment here, as the beat up A’s are not exactly crushing the ball right now and Oakland has also been a terrible home team this season.

Jesse Hahn draws the starting assignment for the hosts, and he has some alarming numbers. The swing and miss rate is pretty poor, and Hahn’s command in the strike zone hasn’t been very good. What’s interesting is that Hahn is displaying increased velocity in his work to date this season. But there has been a load of contact, and Hahn has been getting hit hard. Granted, 24 innings is a small sample but five homers is a little alarming. Moreover, those shots have all come in his last three outings, following his one good start against Houston.

I’m looking for spots to try to beat Oakland right now. The team has an unfortunate abundance of injuries, they aren’t very good defensively, and the bullpen has not performed well at all recently. I think there’s some value here with Detroit in the underdog role, and I’m going ahead with a play on the Tigers today.