Cokin’s Corner, Thanksgiving Day, 11/24/16
Here’s the weekly rundown of where the sharp money is showing in college football. Info is garnered from a variety of sources in Nevada as well as from various stateside underground shops as well as offshore stores.
113 LSU has gotten most of the sharp money for the holiday matchup with Texas A&M.
124 Missouri is attaracting some wise guy play as the Tigers play host to Arkansas.
126 Tulsa has been getting some serious play from the sharps as big chalk against Cincinnati.
142 Arizona is catching a bit of interest from pros in the rivalry game against Arizona State.
147 Tulane has gotten some smart money support on the road at Connecticut.
158 Indiana is a big favorite, but the Hoosiers have gotten significant sharp action against Purdue.
180 UNLV is getting the bulk of the smart dollars in the rivalry clash with Nevada.
210 UL Lafayette is commanding attention from the pros as home dogs vs. Arkansas State.
224 Massachusetts is the smart money preference as the Minutemen make the very long trip to Hawaii.
That’s this week’s rundown. Happy Thanksgiving!
The Wednesday free play on Fordham got there as the Rams sprinted to a huge early lead. Things got very dicey late but Fordham hit its free throws and cashed a ticket. Here’s a Friday football play I like.
117 TOLEDO at 118 WESTERN MICHIGAN
Take: TOLEDO +9
Monster game for Western Michigan, as if the Broncos win this and then also take the MAC title game, they ought to get the Cotton Bowl. That also means they have all the pressure, and I wouldn’t be shocked if they come out a little tight. WMU is legit, I’ve got them in my Top 25, and that’s some tall timber for a MAC team.
But Toledo isn’t far behind, and the Rockets fit a nice late season stat angle. Teams that won the numbers in all of their games, or at least all but one, do quite well as dogs when we get to this point of the season. Stats are very reliable by this time and I put quite a bit of faith in them. Toledo’s only negative stat game all season was vs. Northern Illinois, and that was by just a few yards.
The Rockets only have two losses and both were by very narrow margins, at BYU by a deuce and the five-point loss to Ohio. I agree Western Michigan is the better team, but it’s not by this much in terms of the points and I actually see the situation favoring Toledo. Rockets plus the points.