Cokin’s Corner, Thursday 8/3/17

  • August 2, 2017

I generally make the Thursday edition the abbreviated one each week, and that’s the case again today. That will change once the football season starts. But for now, I’ll stay with Thursday as my mostly day off from writing. With that being the case, let’s proceed directly to today’s free play.

METS (Montero) at ROCKIES (Marquez)

Take: ROCKIES -1 (split ML/RL play)

I see lots of reasons to back Colorado in this game. First off, it’s the first Coors outing for Mets righty Rafael Montero. Pitchers experiencing that ballpark for the first time frequently have problems as it’s simply a different environment than what they’re used to. I’ll put a little caveat into the mix in this instance as Montero has plenty of experience pitching in Las Vegas, which can also be a real pain in the butt for pitchers as the ball absolutely flies In LV. But let’s just say I am having a hard time envisioning Montero doing well on this game.

The Rockies will be sending German Marquez to the hill. Truth be told, Marquez has emerged as the ace of the Colorado staff. He’s a actually got a helluva good ledger that includes an overall ERA barely above 4. That’s outstanding for a pitcher having to work half his innings in the Denver altitude. I give Marquez a big edge on the mound, as the righty has been in excellent for lately and I expect more of the same today.

As for other elements, one would think the Rockies are a bit steamed with themselves after blowing a 5-0 lead on Wednesday night, and that loss put them back behind the Diamondbacks in the wild card pecking order.

Finally, this is a day game. The Mets have been terrible all season under the sun, while Colorado has a tremendous day game ledger this season.Good game to utilize the -1 ploy, splitting the play between the money line and runs line, and that’s what I’m doing with the Rockies.