Cokin’s Corner, Tuesday 6/26/18
I don’t even remember which radio host I worked with came up with the term, just that whenever I started ranting about something, it was referred to as “Mount Cokin exploding” and that was a pretty accurate description. The lava was definitely spewing on Monday night as I watched Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo go the reactive, rather than the proactive route with his starting pitcher. It’s very possible Lovullo cost his team a win against the Marlins, although that is something we will obviously never know.
This began in the third inning and I basically got everything right. It’s all on my Twitter feed and none of it was second guessing. Shelby Miller was making his first big league start in well over one year as he recovered from surgery. Miller was okay the first couple of innings. But his pitch count was quite high and it seemed crystal clear to me in the third inning he was not going to be around much longer.
I tweeted that Lovullo should have someone getting warm before the bottom of the fourth started. First sign of trouble, get Miller out of there. But he didn’t do that, and he still didn’t do it until Miller got himself in a jam by walking the opposing pitcher. Too late by that time, which meant Miller had to face Miami’s hottest hitter, Derek Dietrich, for a third time. Goodbye lead as Dietrich roped one into right field. Miller was finally relieved at the point but lefty TJ McFarland had to face righty hitting Brian Anderson, and McFarland is not all that good against righties. Anderson ripped one, m two runs scored and 3-2 had turned into 5-3 the other way.Ballgame.
This was a classic example of why I favor proactive managers as opposed to reactive managers. Proactive managers are like good pool players. They anticipate and act accordingly. Reactive managers only act on what has already taken place. I’ll take proactive every time. Not every move those types make work out, but over the long haul they are simply superior when it cones to managing baseball games. In this instance, there is absolutely no way Miller should have been in the game to face Dietrich. But because the manager didn’t think ahead, he had no choice but to put his team and his tired pitcher in a bind. It’s not the first time I’ve seen Torey wait too long. He did the same thing a few weeks ago in a game Zack Godley was pitching and the same thing happened. Hopefully, he learns from these mistakes and starts getting more proactive.
As you might have already gathered, I lost with the Diamondbacks, which ended a very nice three day run. I’ll try to get back on the right side of the road tonight. For info on receiving all my plays, email me at email@example.com or choose the option you prefer from the Cokin’s Picks menu to the right of the page.
I have no individual plays as yet for Tuesday, although I did send out a money line parlay to my subscribers. Here’s one I’m looking at as a possible play for Tuesday.
REDS at BRAVES (Harvey-Sanchez)
Take: REDS +135
Short and sweet. I see some value here with the Cincinnati side. My projected line on the game is Braves -125, so Reds +135 is something I’ll definitely be considering. These pure line value plays have been see-sawing back and forth the last couple weeks, but long term they’re going to produce a profit. If this play makes the cut in the morning and ends up on the personal service slate, I’ll update on Twitter. At the very least, the only side I would consider at this number is the Reds.