Cokin’s Corner, Wednesday 8/29/18
I covered perceived coaching upgrades in yesterday’s blog. Today, it’s the dreaded annual rundown of college football coaches on the hot seat. This has been a pretty solid list for several years and the teams represented on this list could prove to be potent fade material is things start to get away early. The list is in no particular order, but I tried to limit it to those head coaches who are likely the least secure heading into the new season.
I have Kalani Sitake on a scorching hot seat at BYU. .500 is simply not going to cut it in Provo. This is a program with a very lengthy winning tradition. I see five pretty likely losses on the BYU slate. If this team can’t pull an upset and drops a game to someone they’re not supposed to lose to, Sitake is probably toast.
Brad Lambert is very possibly the least likely coach to hang onto his post if Charlotte doesn’t show improvement this season. The 49ers have a load of returning starters, so it looks like now or never for Lambert.
Mike MacIntyre is close to being finished at Colorado. I’d say anything less than a bowl bid will mandate a change with the Buffaloes.
Scottie Montgomery just hasn’t gotten it done at East Carolina. This should be a decent mid-level program and the fact is the Pirates have gone downhill with Montgomery on the sidelines. It’s not always the fault of the head coach when a program declines, but I kind of think it is here.
Put up or shut up time for Lovie Smith at Illinois. No one expected Lovie to vault the Illini into powerhouse status, but they’ve gotten worse since he arrived.
David Beatty is on the list. He’s 3-33 at Kansas. The Jayhawks are overmatched in the powerful Big 12, but ya gotta win once in a while and three wins in 36 games is not once in a while.
I thought Bob Davie might get the axe at New Mexico after last season considering some of the issues with the Lobos program. He’s back for one more roundup, but unless the Lobos show improvement, he’s gone. Davie might be a candidate to be first coach fired if New Mexico stumbles early in one of its winnable games.
Finally, there’s Tony Sanchez right here at UNLV. Sanchez is now in his fourth year, and with a new AD now entrenched , I think this is now the first season where there’s some genuine pressure to produce. Anything less than 6-6 and a bowl could signal another change for the Rebels.
2-0 Tuesday here and getting geared up for the first full week of college football. I doubt I’ll do much with the NFL on tuneup Thursday. Get all my plays directly from me by choosing one of of the available packages to the right of the page at “Cokin’s Picks”. More detailed info on how everything works is yours by emailing me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
Good job by the Braves as they got it done against the Rays as the Tuesday free play. Here’s a lookahead for Saturday in college football. No line on this currently as it’s a first half opinion only, but one I believe could work nicely.
UNLV at USC
Take: UNLV 1H
I don’t believe the Rebels can stay with a vastly more talented USC entry for 60 minutes. But I can see UNLV hanging in early against the Trojans. I don’t see USC being especially excited about this opener. The Trojans have Stanford and Texas up the next two weeks, and there’s a good chance they just want to get through this opener showing as little as possible in terms of the playbook and tendencies.
On the UNLV side, it’s a huge opportunity to instill some confidence for the more winnable games on their schedule. This teams has a legit chance to go 4-1 out of the gate. But a bad loss here could well dim the enthusiasm and that could lead to vulnerability against the soft opposition on deck. I want to see UNLV play confidently here, even in what will almost certainly be a loss.
UNLV has enough offensive talent to put a score or two on the board in the first half. If they can get in the end zone once, they’ll have a good chance to cover the 1H line, so I’ll be looking to take the points with the Rebels for the first 30 minutes.