Dave’s Free Play, Friday 12/26/14

  • December 26, 2014

Back to the regular blog activity tomorrow as the Christmas break wraps up.

I’ll be on one of the bowls today with little more than a weak opinion on the other two games. I’ve also already played one NBA game and there’s a good chance I’ll be adding the free play once the line becomes available on that game, assuming it’s a fit on my numbers. Check my Twitter timeline (@davecokin) for that determination.

The remainder of the Bowl package is $160, payable via PayPal to cokin@cox.net. Plus, just a handful of days now remaining to take advantage of the guaranteed monthly special. There’s a minimum +10 net unit gain that comes with that purchase, and the service continues until that goal is attained. Use the “buy now” feature and choose “monthly special” from the dropdown menu or shoot an email my way at cokin@cox.net for more detailed info.

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A miss with Colorado as the Thursday free play. The Buffaloes were outplayed most of the game by Hawaii, but still were in position to win and perhaps cover. But a pathetic last few possessions took care of that. Here are some thoughts on an NBA matchup for the Friday comp.

12/26 05:05 PM   NBA   (809) HOUSTON ROCKETS  at  (810) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

Take: (809) HOUSTON ROCKETS

No line on tonight’s Rockets/Grizzlies hookup as I’m writing this, but I’ve got some clear ideas on this game and will be looking to give the Rockets a play.

Josh Smith is now on the Houston roster. Make no mistake, I’m not a Smith fan. I’ve always considered him to be pretty much a waste of what is exceptional talent. The fact the Pistons decided to simply get rid of him speak volumes about the impact they felt he was having on the team.

I don’t expect Smith to suddenly morph into a great team player. He is what he is. But I do expect at least a brief period of strong play from the enigmatic forward. One would think he got the message in getting waived, plus he also figures to be energized at the prospect of moving from a team with no chance to contend to one that’s definitely in the playoff mix.

The Rockets have a loaded roster at this point. Whether or not that translates into a big run come post-season time remains to be seen, but there’s an abundance of talent on this team, and the potential is there. Getting all these guys on the same page long term is a dicey proposition, but i suspect we could see some very strong play for at least a small sample following the Smith acquisition.

The Grizzlies have some issues right now thanks to injuries. Tony Allen and Zach Randolph have been siting out and their presence has been sorely missed, particularly on the defensive end of the court. No word yet on the availability of either player for tonight’s game, thus no line currently.

I’m a proponent of backing teams that fall into the sudden change category. These teams frequently enjoy a positive spike for at least a short term before regressing to where they were previously. I would expect Houston to show some positive energy with the Smith pickup, at least for a handful of games. Team that with the possible continued absence of two key Grizzlies and it looks like a good spot for the Rockets tonight.