Dave’s Free Play, Friday 1/25/13
Spun the wheels on Thursday, with two very close losses and two clear winners. 2-2 overall, so no real damage done as the weekend approaches. I probably won’t have much on Friday as far as personal plays are concerned. But there’s always a free opinion, so here’s one from the Friday night MAAC slate.
01/25 04:00 PM CB (827) ST. PETER’S VS (828) IONA
Take: (828) IONA
Backing big chalk is not my favorite way to play, but sometimes it simply makes sense to take the plunge and surrender a boatload of points. I’ll put Friday’s St. Peter’s-Iona clash in that category. The Peacocks just aren’t much good at all, but their best win of the season came against Iona. That means the Gaels aren’t likely to simply take them for granted. In that earlier meeting, Iona had a double digit lead at the half and blew it. That should result in a little more focus over the full 40 tonight, and it gets even better with Iona coming in off a loss at Rider last time out. There’s certainly no value in the number, as the same season revenge has been built in by the oddsmakers. That said, this is a legit opportunity for some serious payback, so I’ll give Iona minus the points the nod tonight.