Dave’s Free Play, Wednesday 12/24/14

  • December 24, 2014

I’ll be skipping the daily commentary for the holiday, but the free plays will continue on a daily basis.

My Tuesday was enjoyable, with both bowl winners, 2-1 hoops and nice dog winner on the ice with the Leafs.

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Montana State stayed inside the spread as the Tuesday free play. I’m playing both bowls today, so I’ll look ahead to one of Sunday’s NFL games for the comp.

12/28 10:00 AM   NFL   (321) PHILADEPHIA EAGLES  at  (322) NEW YORK GIANTS

Take: (322) NEW YORK GIANTS -3

I never use the term “easy winner” in advance of a wager taking place. The result might end up that way, but to my way of thinking it’s strictly amateur city whenever I see that in print.

But there are easy decisions, and on that level I think this game between the Eagles and Giants qualifies.

It’s not that I expect the Eagles to lay down here. They’re professionals and while this season is now an absolute disappointment, Philly would still like to end the campaign on a positive note. Nevertheless, it’s also very tough to see the Eagles being razor sharp. The offense has bogged down badly with Mark Sanchez under center and the defense looks worn out.

The Giants will finish with a losing record, but they’re going in the opposite direction of the Eagles right now. They’ve won three straight and have played by far their best football of the season down the stretch. Eli Manning finally appears to have gotten comfortable in the offensive scheme, and the entire team is playing with a great deal of energy.

Handicapping the final week of the season means ignoring some of the data. On the numbers, the Eagles are a one-point favorite here. But I’m ignoring the stats, efficiency ranking and virtually everything else I utilize in most weeks.

In this instance, gauging motivation and inputting current form overrides everything else, and from that standpoint, this becomes one of those easy decisions. The books have made the proper adjustment, but I still have no problem lining up with the favorite in this game, and that’s strictly on what amounts to intangibles. It’s the Giants minus the points for me.