Dave’s Free Play, Wednesday 3/26/14

  • March 26, 2014

Baseball previews continue today with a glance at the Colorado Rockies. This team hasn’t been especially relevant for some time now, but there is some hope things might be about to change in Mile High Country.

The Rockies are making some positive strides. They’ve figured out that to contend, they simply have to receive better pitching. Sure, it’s offense galore at home and the Rockies can hope to outscore the opposition. But this team also plays 81 games away from home, and without better production from the arms, this team is never going to go anyplace.

Colorado is more down the road than present with what are probably the two best pitchers in the organization not quite ready just yet. But Jonathan Gray is expected to move rapidly up the organizational ladder, and Eddie Butler looks to be very close to the top level. There’s no question the future of this franchise is tied directly to these two hurlers.

As for what’s in Denver right now, there are some possibilities. Jhoulys Chacin needs to get over his shoulder issues, Jorge De La Rosa and Brett Anderson need to stay healthy and Juan Nicasio needs to gain more consistency. The odds of all four guys getting to their peaks are pretty long. But if the quartet can just stay healthy enough to produce 700-800 innings, that would go a long way toward getting the Rockies to at least the .500 plateau.

There should be ample offense, although again that’s tied to good health. Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki are superstars when they’re on the field. Nolan Arenado has a bright future, Corey Dickerson looks to be a really nice fit for this team, and Michael Cuddyer remains underrated. Justin Morneau might just get that power stroke back playing at Coors and Wilin Rosario is approaching elite status at catcher. I really don’t see too many holes in this lineup and the hope is that they can produce on the road as well as in the altitude.

I think this team could be substantially improved this year. That’s if they stay on the field as a group and avoid what has been a seemingly endless run of injuries. That is, unfortunately for the Rockies, a very big if.  No question there’s gamble involved because of those tendencies, but I would definitely look at Over 76.5 as a realistic possibility.

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No hoops or hockey for me on Tuesday. I did have three leans on the diamond that swept the board, and starting today I’ll be releasing regular plays in baseball if the lineup info cooperates.

The guaranteed April package actually gets started right now, so it’s a good time to get rolling with me. The package runs through the end of April, and includes a guaranteed net profit of at least five units, based on one unit per play If that minimum goal is not met by that date, there is no charge until such time as it’s achieved. Use the “buy now” feature to purchase via Paypal, or shoot me an email at cokin@cox.net for more detailed information.

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A nice shootout winner with the Avalanche as the Tuesday comp. Back to the buckets for tonight’s free play, with this one taking place in the CBI Tournament.

03/26 07:00 PM  CB   (773) OLD DOMINION (774) FRESNO STATE

Take: (774) FRESNO STATE -6.5

Old Dominion beat me on Monday night as the Monarchs played what might well have been their best game of the entire season. I’m willing to bet they can’t duplicate the effort tonight as they travel all the way across the country to face Fresno State.

When viewing the comparative numbers on this game, the Bulldogs own some substantial edges. The most glaring differential is in the turnover department. ODU has struggled with giveaways all season. Fresno State has been one of the best ball security teams in the entire nation. I really feel that was the key toward the Bulldogs coming on strong as the Mountain West season rolled on.

There has to be some adjustment made for the travel as well. It’s a long trip for the Monarchs, and they’re going to be playing basketball at a time they’re certainly unfamiliar with. We just saw Fresno State do in one east coast squad on Monday night, and they should be poised to deliver another knockout blow tonight.

If Old Dominion can match their Monday night performance, this is obviously going to be very tough. But there isn’t anything on their resume that suggests this to be a likelihood. The Bulldogs have been a hot team, with an 11-3 record in their last 14, and I like them to nail their 20th win of the season tonight. I’ll go with Fresno State minus the points to notch the win and cover.