Dave’s Free Plays, Sunday 6/28/15

  • June 28, 2015

One does not have to be a Miami Marlins fan to feel lousy about the injury to Giancarlo Stanton. If you enjoy baseball even on a casual basis, this news is a big disappointment.

Stanton fractured his wrist swinging the bat on Friday evening and he’ll miss the next 4-6 weeks. From the Marlins perspective, it’s not like they were a likely playoff contender, so I suppose it’s not a game changer as far as their chase for October goes. But if there were only two really good reasons to go to a Marlins game, one is now out of action and the other (Jose Fernandez) is still rehabbing from his Tommy John surgery.

The bigger loss is for fans eager to see Stanton doing his thing at the All-Star game and in particular at the Home Run Derby. Giancarlo had already committed to participating and the possibility of seeing a 500 foot plus homer or two was absolutely reason to tune in. No disrespect to any of the other sluggers who will be trying their best to bomb them out that evening, but Stanton was clearly going to be the one everyone had to watch.

As for Stanton, it’s the second straight season he’ll have missed significant time with an injury. Getting hit in the face with a pitch as he did last season was obviously way worse than this injury. But let’s hope that these DL stints are not going to be an annual occurrence for one of the game’s most exciting players to watch.

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As of eight¬†days ago, I was just a shade below the +30 net unit level for the baseball season. I’m now right around +17 net units. I guess that’s still acceptable overall, but there’s no way to minimize just how miserable this last week and change has been. Obviously, as one who is selling subscriptions, having to report brutal results is not the preferred method to attract new clients. But I also can’t hide from it, and there’s no way I’m going to try and camouflage my disappointment.

The idea now is to get reheated, and in a hurry. Daily wagering can be streaky, and I’m confident the process will get things back to their norm, hopefully starting today. For info on how my program works, along with the costs and the guarantee, shoot an email my way at cokin@cox.net.

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The Diamondbacks got run over on Saturday night after being tied 2-2 at the midway point. The free play heater has been doused these last few days. Sunday’s comp is the series windup between the Yankees and Astros.

YANKEES (Pineda) @ ASTROS (McHugh)

Take: YANKEES -109 (Don Best Consensus Line as of publication time)

Michael Pineda and Collin McHugh are a pair of starting pitchers who’d probably each like to turn back the clock just a little bit. Both Pineda and McHugh were putting up some mighty impressive numbers, but each has been going through an uneven period recently. McHugh is hoping his last effort got him straightened out to some extent. Pineda needs to rebound from what was probably the worst start of his life.

It’s really kind of baffling as to what in the wide, wide world of sports went wrong for Pineda on Monday. He was at home and he was facing a feeble Phillies lineup. Welcome to the game where anything can happen on any given day. Pineda didn’t fool a soul and got absolutely blown up.

As for McHugh, one might make the argument that one critical pitch swung everything for him. The Astros righty has been getting hit pretty hard lately and was in a first inning bases loaded mess at Anaheim. But McHugh induced a double play grounder from David Freese, the ‘Stros lit up CJ Wilson in the second inning and McHugh settled in well enough to coast to an easy win.

I’m still not convinced that McHugh is out of the woods. If he has relocated the stuff we saw for much of 2014 and the early portion of this season, the Yankees could be in for a difficult day.

Pineda needs to show he can be an ace today. The Yankees won Saturday, but Masahiro Tanaka had his second straight very poor performance in the process. Given the concerns about his balky elbow, there’s not as much reliability in Tanaka at this point as the Yankees would like. Pineda has to step up here and put together a quality start. That’s no cinch against this Houston entry. But I’ll count myself as one who believes Pineda has to talent to front a rotation and I’m eager to see how he rebounds from that Monday disaster.

I made this number a shade higher than where it currently stands, and assuming the regulars are playing this game, I’ll be looking to include the Yankees on my personal ticket for the day. I would definitely suggest checking out the starting lineups before proceeding as it’s a Sunday getaway game and the Yanks have to play at Anaheim on Monday night. But assuming the key guys are in action, the Yankees are a take for me, and they’re the Sunday free play as well.

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FanDuel Value Play, Sunday 6/28

STEVEN MATZ, P, $4600

It’s the very much anticipated big league debut for the next Mets phenom. Steven Matz has accomplished all he can pitching for Las Vegas in the PCL and now it’s time for the lefty to see what he can do in the bigs.

The key to this choice is the price. Matz is the lowest priced pitcher on the entire board at only $4600. I’m not expecting him to garner as many points as King Felix, MadBum, Price, Archer, Greinke and perhaps a few others. It’s pretty much ace day around the majors. But those star pitchers are all commanding huge salaries, and here’s Matz selling at a bargain basement price. I’m in on the rookie and I’ll spend all those excess dollars trying to find some offensive pop.