Dave’s Free Plays, Wednesday 7/22/15

  • July 22, 2015

I’m not a lawyer, nor have I talked to one on this topic. So I’ll just offer an opinion based on common sense here.

The NFL and the DOJ apparently agree that sports gambling in the “skill” category years ago, as we all found out Tuesday thanks to document released.

That doesn’t Roger Goodell has changed his stance, he’s still declaring his opposition to sports gambling. Goodall also claims the league is “studying” daily fantasy games, albeit they’re doing so very cautiously.

Let’s call it straight, commish. There’s no way you’re going to be able to now outlaw the daily fantasy games. It’s simply too late. Also, if the daily fantasy sites were to somehow suddenly become illegal, then how would season long fantasy sites be any different? Good luck trying to shut those down.

Therefore, the way I see it, if the league is allowing daily fantasy because it’s skill-based, and the league also agrees with the DOJ that sports gambling is skill-based, then you’re going to have to explain to me how one can be okay and the other isn’t.

There’s an inevitable conclusion here, which is that sports betting is going to eventually be legalized. In fact, I’ll go so far as to suggest that we might now see some kind of federal lawsuit claiming bias if the NFL continues to fight against it. I don’t see how they can legally give thumbs up to daily fantasy while condemning sports betting, when both are clearly gambling and each is considered to be a game of skill.

Again, I’m not a lawyer so maybe I’m way off base here. But somehow I don’t think so.

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Nice run ended on Tuesday as I fired on five dogs and lost all but one. That’s a setback to be sure, but I expect to bounce right back today.

Get the goods on the upcoming football season package as well as the remainder of baseball. Just email me directly at cokin@cox.net and I’ll explain how everything works, and what the costs involved are.

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Dumb call on the Red Sox as the Tuesday free play. Boston did enjoy a 3-1 lead, but they blew that on a Houston stolen base that ended up turning into two runs thanks to a bad throw and it was all downhill from there. I’ll try tonight’s clash at Yankee Stadium for the Wednesday comp.

ORIOLES (Gausman)  @  YANKEES (Nova)

Take: ORIOLES +113 (Don Best consensus line at publication time)

Kevin Gausman was crushed in his most recent outing and the talented Baltimore righty continues to be plagued by inconsistency. The stuff is definitely there, but the ability to keep things together still hasn’t arrived.

I’ll still favor Gausman over Ivan Nova for the time being. Nova just hasn’t looked sharp in his four starts since coming back from his long DL stint and he’s going to have to show me more before I can consider backing him.

The Yankees are establishing themselves as the favorite to win the AL East and Joe Girardi has his team playing with confidence right now. But Nova is at least for the time being the weak link in the rotation. We’re talking small sample with both Gausman and Nova here in terms of 2015 innings, but the meaningful metrics clearly indicate Gausman when compared with Nova. That’s big for me, as I like going with underdog pitchers who own the edges in the key categories I focus on.

I made this game a virtual pick ’em, so while it’s not slam dunk value, grabbing more than a dime with the visitors is a worthwhile wager and I’m taking the Orioles for my Wednesday free play.

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FanDuel Value Play, Wednesday 7/22

TRAVIS SNIDER, OF, $2600

Since I consider Ivan Nova a major risk tonight, it figures I want to have at least a couple Orioles in my lineup. Travis Snider offers some upside at a very low price, as he’s going to cost only $2600. If you’re looking to roster one of the stud starting pitchers throwing this evening, money has to saved elsewhere and I consider Snider a decent buy at a discount price.